Bellweather Vote For Hillary in Kentucky

It is Primary Day for Democrats in Kentucky and Oregon and, although Oregon has more delegates at stake, Kentucky will be more of a bellweather for the Clinton campaign. That may seem counterintuitive as Kentucky is a deep red state while Oregon leans blue.  But if Hillary can not overcome her lack of popularity in the coal portion of the state, it does not bode well for the general election in the coal country areas of Ohio and Pennsylvania, two hugely important states.  Hillary has the support of the Democratic establishment in the state and her strength in urban areas and with minority votes should be able to pull her through. In addition, Bill Clinton, who remains quite popular in the state, has been campaigning hard for Hillary. The latest poll was taken way back in March so we have no meaningful read of the electorate at present. And Sanders’ demolition of Hillary in West Virginia shows just how important the coal country vote can be.  We’ll know later tonight whether Hillary survives this test.